In economics, the St. Petersburg paradox is a paradox related to probability theory and decision theory. It is based on a particular (theoretical) lottery game (sometimes called St. Petersburg Lottery) that leads to a random variable with infinite expected value, i.e., infinite expected payoff, but would nevertheless be considered to be worth only a very small amount of money. The St. Petersburg paradox is a classical situation where a naïve decision criterion (which takes only the expected value into account) would recommend a course of action that no (real) rational person would be willing to take. Several resolutions are possible.
Showing posts with label Probability Theory. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Probability Theory. Show all posts
Friday, December 21, 2012
The St. Petersburg paradox
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Petersburg_paradox
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